Dear Representative Noriega,
I am writing to inform you that VoteVets.org PAC has decided to endorse your campaign for the United States Senate. Congratulations! As you know, VoteVets.org PAC is the leading political organization of Iraq and Afghanistan veterans, representing the voices of thousands who served with us in Operations Iraqi Freedom and Enduring Freedom.
More from that letter:
Unfortunately for Texans, one of the weakest voices on troops’ and veterans’ issues has been John Cornyn. Whether it’s his steadfast refusal to allow our military time to refit and rearm for the long fight against terror ahead, or his votes against care for veterans, Texas has little to be proud of when it comes to John Cornyn’s record on the veterans and troops. We know, however, you will be our champion.
We firmly believe that Texas, our military, our veterans, and the nation will be strongly served by having you on the floor of the United States Senate. We’re pleased, therefore, to offer you our enthusiastic endorsement.
This news came right after Kos posted the results of his own polling on this race.
Research 2000 for Daily Kos. 9/24-26. Likely voters. MoE 4% (No trend lines)
If the 2008 election for U.S. Senate were held today, would you to reelect John Cornyn, would you consider voting for another candidate, or would you vote to replace Cornyn?
If 2008 election for U.S. Senate were held today, for whom would you vote for if the choices were between Rick Noriega, the Democrat, and John Cornyn, the Republican?
Cornyn (R) 51
Noriega (D) 35
Those reelect numbers are anemic as all hell, and while he’s above that “50 percent” mark, he doesn’t have much room to spare. The “Noriega” and “Replace” numbers line up perfectly. It looks like the race will be all about peeling that “consider someone else” bloc away from Cornyn.
Cornyn also scores poorly against voters over the age of 60 — never a good sign for a candidate since those are the people most likely to vote. We’ll keep an eye on this one and see if we can get Cornyn under 50 percent.
More data HERE
Compare those numbers to some early polling from the Hutchinson/Radnofsky 06 Senate Race:
4% some other candidate
6% not sure
And compare that to the final poll and election results:
Kay Bailey Hutchison (R) 62% 60%
Barbara A. Radnofsky (D) 36% 34%
And add in the latest figures from Act Blue:
Things are adding up quite nicely.
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